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See Noonan (2010) on the relationship between Lewis's and Sider's formulations of the argument.
How does this bear upon evidential formulations of the argument from evil?
But once one shifts to probabilistic formulations of the argument from evil, the situation is very different: details about concrete cases of evil may be evidentially crucial.
Given that the preceding observations are rather obvious ones, one might have expected that discussions of the argument from evil would have centered mainly upon concrete formulations of the argument.
In his 1996 paper, "The Evidential Argument from Evil: A Second Look", Rowe set aside the problem of attempting to find a satisfactory account of the inductive step involved in direct, inductive formulations of the argument from evil in favor of a very different, Bayesian formulation of the argument from evil.
There is a massive classical and contemporary literature on the problem of evil; consideration of formulations of the argument from evil and of attempts to reconcile the existence of evil and the existence of an absolutely perfect being is beyond the scope of this article.
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Even in this case, however, his style of writing was such that the proper formulation of the argument has become a main source of controversy.
See the supplementary document An Alternative Formulation of the Argument 3.
This is why our formulation of the argument is so modest.
As Turing notes, there is some slippage between "ought" and "will" in this formulation of the argument.
I would like to thank Edward Zalta, principal editor of The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, for suggesting (roughly) this formulation of the argument.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com