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forehammer
noun
A sledge or sledgehammer; the large hammer which strikes first, or before the smaller one.
Exact(13)
To further isolate the role of the foresummer, antecedent foresummer precipitation alone was regressed on coccidioidomycosis incidence in fall, winter, foresummer, and the monsoon in the relevant period 1.5 2 years later.
Dispersion-related conditions are important predictors of coccidioidomycosis incidence during fall, winter, and the arid foresummer.
A remarkable result is the positive role of precipitation during the arid foresummer for coccidioidomycosis occurring in all subsequent seasons up to 2 years later.
For precipitation, the winter peak occurs between December and March, followed by the driest time of the year during the arid foresummer from April through June.
Multivariate models of the incidence data series indicate that concurrent dispersion conditions are important during fall (via precipitation) and in winter and the arid foresummer (via PM10).
A second implication is that fungal spores produced after a wet period in the foresummer may accumulate in the soil and remain viable for several years.
Ambient dust levels, as an index of potential spore dispersion, are positively associated with concurrent coccidioidomycosis rates in winter and the foresummer.
However, the most striking result of this study is the dominant role of precipitation during the normally arid foresummer 1.5 2 years before the season of exposure.
This is typically a time of soil desiccation and vegetation dormancy, so the ability to grow opportunistically in the foresummer may be a competitive advantage of Coccidioides over other soil biota.
Both sets of models have in common the foresummer precipitation 1 or 2 years before the predicted coccidioidomycosis season, as well as concurrent fall precipitation for fall coccidioidomycosis incidence.
Similar(1)
The resulting cross-validated R between observations and combined predictions of all four antecedent foresummer-based models was 0.27.
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