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The model forecasts him for a 4.1 percentage points win in the national popular vote.
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The FiveThirtyEight forecast model, which heavily weights the most recent polling and a candidate's momentum, now projects Mr. Gingrich to win South Carolina by just under 10 points, forecasting him to get 38.7 percent of the vote to Mr. Romney's 29.3 percent.
Some forecasts back him up.
In 1989, most forecasts favoured him to win a Senate seat for Santiago.
In the first half of his first period as chancellor, Osborne was repeatedly hit by the OBR downgrading his forecasts, leaving him with a worse hand than he hoped.
Rachel Reeves, the former work and pensions secretary, asked Osborne whether he would be forced to reduce the benefits bill further to meet his "welfare cap", which current forecasts show him busting by £20bn over the course of this parliament.
After the recent polls, however, the forecast sees him doing slightly better in Ohio than elsewhere.
Mr. Obama's next-best state is New Hampshire, where the forecast shows him with a tiny although much diminished advantage.
The forecast gives him roughly a 20 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, up from about 15 percent before the debate.
"No one would have believed George Osborne if he had said the forecast gave him £27bn extra just four months after the previous forecast," he said.
He had "created something special," a small legacy of intuition and feeling that no computer or trainer had forecast for him.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com