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The Florida State Super Ensemble (FSSE) is produced from a suite of models which then uses statistical regression equations developed over a training phase to reduce their biases, which produces forecasts better than the member models or their mean solution.
Temperature improves dengue outbreaks forecasts better than humidity and rainfall.
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However, in general, the seasonal and global models forecasted better than the naïve model (Fig. 11).
Third, the five parameter HIST-ETAS models will forecast better than the μK-HIST-ETAS models.
Second, the models that take the anisotropic clusters into consideration will forecast better than the models with isotropic clusters only using the original JMA hypocenter data.
In addition, the MoSST_DAS field forecast accuracies are at least comparable to IGRF forecast (better than IGRF-8 but slightly worse than IGRF-9 which utilizes more observations for shorter period forecast).
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