Sentence examples for forecasting tournament from inspiring English sources
The project is part of a first-of-its-kind forecasting tournament.
As I've discussed previously, The Monkey Cage and Good Judgment have been running a forecasting tournament for Trump's first 100 days in office.
His subsequent work helped prompt people at one of the government's most creative agencies, the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Agency, to hold a forecasting tournament to see if competition could spur better predictions.
The team, working on The Good Judgment Project, had the perfect opportunity to test its future-predicting methods during a four-year government-funded geopolitical forecasting tournament sponsored by the United States Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity.
How can one compare forecasting ability?The only reliable method is to conduct a forecasting tournamentThe only reliable method is to conduct a forecasting tournament in which independent judges ask all participants to make the same forecasts in the same timeframes.
The Good Judgment Project competed as one of five teams in a forecasting tournament sponsored by American intelligence agencies, who funded the competition in an effort to learn how to make better predictions after the intelligence failures in 2006, when the United States invaded Iraq believing that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction.
Of his forecasting tournaments, he says, "I'm not waiting for Tom Friedman to sign up".
There's evidence suggesting participants in forecasting tournaments can improve their accuracy with training.
The idea is to compare the number of T.S.P.s that a team is expected to receive based on its actual draw - we derive these numbers from our tournament forecasting model - to that under this hypothetical situation.
Despite the uncertain forecast, Peter Mele, the tournament director, remained hopeful that golf would eventually draw more attention than the weather.
FORECAST: RAIN With this year on pace to become metro Atlanta's wettest on record, it was inevitable that rain would creep into the tournament forecast.
