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Since a lot of people now live in the area, forecasting the likelihood of a catastrophic mudflow is a major concern.
"You know at first the forecasts were two to three months, four, and it is already two years," Mr. Bogdanov told Russian news agencies, forecasting the likelihood of an even more protracted conflict.
As to whether existing methods of predictive policing work as advertised, by forecasting the likelihood of crime, the evidence is scarce, and the few data points are not encouraging.
We envision volcanoes prone to phreatic eruptions being monitored using multiple parameters (geophysical and geochemical) feeding into automated probabilistic calculations forecasting the likelihood of eruption within a given time period.
Prognosticators from Nate Silver to The Huffington Post are forecasting the likelihood of a GOP takeover of the House and a very closely-divided Senate.
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And after all, how accurate were the models that forecast the likelihood that Enron would collapse?
Small tremors emanating from Earth's tectonic faults may help scientists forecast the likelihood of a major earthquake, according to a study.
What seismologists are increasingly able to do, however, is forecast the likelihood that a quake will occur in a certain area over a certain time.
He doesn't forecast the likelihood that calamitous weather events like Hurricane Sandy will cause far greater damage when the oceans have risen closer to the level of the cities, overwhelming roads, sewers, underground trains, and water systems.
While predicting the exact time and location of an earthquake is not possible, seismologists are increasingly able to forecast the likelihood that a quake might occur in a certain area within a certain time.
A novel approach is proposed to forecast the likelihood of climate-change across spatial landscape gradients.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com