The three types of forecasting improvements are (i) uniform forecasting improvements when there is not a ramp, (ii) ramp forecasting magnitude improvements, and (iii) ramp forecasting threshold changes.
Sensitivity analysis results show that (i) all proposed metrics are suitable to show the changes in the accuracy of solar forecasts with uniform forecasting improvements, and (ii) the metrics of skewness, kurtosis, and Rényi entropy are specifically suitable to show the changes in the accuracy of solar forecasts with ramp forecasting improvements and a ramp forecasting threshold.
The financial baseline and targets can be translated back to forecasting accuracy metrics and requirements, which will guide research on solar forecasting improvements toward the areas that are most beneficial to power systems operations.
In addition, a comprehensive framework is developed to analyze the sensitivity of the proposed metrics to three types of solar forecasting improvements using a design-of-experiments methodology in conjunction with response surface, sensitivity analysis, and nonparametric statistical testing methods.
Forecasting improvements to global CCS under different scenarios of habitat recovery and restoration was done by multiplying quantified rates of CCS per unit area by estimates of global habitat area resulting from either natural recovery alone, or natural recovery combined with restoration.
But the company also forecast improvement in the second half of the year, citing a recovering world economy.
Currently a subset of AIRS Level 1B Radiance Products is assimilated by NWP centers, resulting in significant forecast improvement.
The recent creation of a meteorological center does not allow clear observation of forecast improvement.
But he also believes that "economic indicators forecast improvement during 2002, and that should increase paper demand".
The results, when compared to the ANN model, the ANFIS model has shown a significant forecast improvement.
