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These models are all over the map, forecasting everything from a nearly certain Obama victory to the substantial likelihood of his defeat.
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NOT SO long ago, prediction markets were being tipped as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completion date of a vital project to a firm's annual sales.
"I listen to the news, the forecast, everything," he said.
In 1911, he wrote an all but unreadable novel called "Ralph 124C 41+," in which he forecast almost everything that has happened in modern technology, including radar.
(And history is full of failed long-term forecasts of everything from oil prices to human population trends).
And yet we continue to try, churning out forecasts on everything from the price of oil to the next civil war.
**Buying rosy forecasts, ignoring everything else.
The first is forecasting.
Analysts are forecasting $4.37.
Now having sewn everything back together, and forecast a full recovery for the 2013 campaign, some think the good doctor should have intervened earlier.
But with forecasts, timing is everything.
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CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com