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The PM24 parameter may be used by air quality forecasters to adjust the forecast provided by the automated forecast system.
Tetlock and his research partner Barbara Mellers spent the last few years recruiting more than 20,000 volunteer forecasters to participate in a massive forecasting activity they dubbed "The Good Judgment Project".
Economic forecasting is necessarily imprecise: too many things happen for forecasters to be able to foresee all of them.
The case of the El Niño costero should be viewed as a lesson for governments and forecasters to heed attention to not only the climate information generated by forecasts, but also the context of the forecast and disaster setting, which is equally important and can influence societal responses to hydrometeorological threats.
It allowed local forecasters to be more precise.
In 2004, he joined other BBC forecasters to mark the 50th anniversary of television weather presenting.
Subsequently this method was improved to permit wave forecasters to predict optimal routes for mariners.
These allow forecasters to follow the evolution of the storms and to estimate their intensity.
That has led a number of private forecasters to slash estimates of second-quarter growth.
These improvements have allowed forecasters to increase warning times while reducing false alarms.
Pressure from clients actually is leading some traditional forecasters to make changes.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com