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Questions from the justices do not always reliably forecast votes, of course, and many of the justices also indicated their views of the central issue presented in the case.
The three who would forecast their votes, Senators Robert G. Torricelli and Frank R. Lautenberg of New Jersey and Senator-elect Charles E. Schumer of New York, said they did not think that Mr. Clinton had committed impeachable offenses.
The difference between 63 percent and 75 percent may sound like a lot, but it corresponds to something like a difference of half a percentage point in Obama's forecast vote share.
VOTE GIVES PREMIER FREE HAND IN RIFF; Big French Offensives Is Forecast by Vote for the Government in Chamber.
"Forecasting the Vote: An Analytical Comparison of Election Markets and Public Opinion Polls". Political Analysis 12 277-295.
As for turnout, that is sometimes even harder to correctly forecast than voting intention.
Archives|VOTE GIVES PREMIER FREE HAND IN RIFF; Big French Offensives Is Forecast by Vote for the Government in Chamber.
If a question was too specific, she would decline to answer on the ground that she did not want to forecast a vote.
At least 115 countries, and possibly as many as 150, out of a total of 193, are forecast to vote in favour of upgraded "non-member state" status.
Mr. Clegg has shrugged off suggestions that his party is heading for a historic upset, telling The New York Times in an interview last week that he was not Nostradamus, capable of forecasting the vote.
But people involved in the review, including some who have recently met with some of the commissioners, say it would be folly to forecast the vote based on the commissioners' questions.
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