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In fact, an accuracy improvement of forecasted temperature by about 1°C compared to values obtained by climatology may have a great benefit in gas supply portfolio management.
As shown in Fig. 10, at 825 min, the forecasted temperature deviates from the actual temperature by 0.4 °C and is corrected by measurements.
Check the weather (including the forecasted temperature on flight day).
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Real measurements are used to update the forecasted temperatures every 15 min in this case so that the forecast errors will remain tolerable.
The second map shows the forecasted temperatures for 2050.
For the northern macro-area, the CFS-NCEP model highly underestimates the forecasted temperatures.
Henderson and Kosatsky (2012) found that the accuracy of heat alerts predicted by forecasted temperatures varied with lead time and geographical areas compared with those predicted by observed temperatures.
AT is calculated from two directly forecasted variables (temperature and DPT), and thus it results in larger errors than either temperature or DPT.
The real and forecasted outdoor temperature profiles are shown in Fig. 3.
Check the weather forecast before you go and pay special attention to the UV index, wind speed & direction, chances of precipitation, and the forecasted low temperature.
Similarly, updates also happen at 810, 840, 855, 870, etc. Open image in new window Fig. 10 Using measured cell temperatures to update the forecasted cell temperatures.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com