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(varepsilon^{Total} (t)) is the total wind power forecasting error of the wind farm when the forecasted average wind speed is completely accurate.
This is the relationship between the forecasted average wind speed and the actual average wind speed.
If the actual average wind speed is taken as the forecasted average wind speed, the calculating error of total wind power would be the minimum forecasting error.
bar{v}^{forecast} (t) = frac{1}{n}sumlimits_{i = 1}^{n} {v_{i}^{forecast} (t)} (29 Substituting into (24), the forecasted average wind speed can be obtained.
Therefore, the actual average wind speed can be taken as the forecasted average wind speed, which is defined as: bar{v}^{forecast} (t) = bar{v}(t) (31).
If actual forecasted average wind speed is used to calculate the wind power, the bigger errors will be emerged than the above errors.
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