Only a small percentage of the province (< 2%) is geographically located within the forecasted ecological niche area of C. gattii.
Of particular note is the association of daily January average temperatures > 0°C within the forecasted ecological niche areas of C. gattii, and the general absence (or transiently positive nature) of C. gattii in geographic areas where the daily January average temperatures are < 0°C.
The students are majoring in fields with forecasted growth in our county; areas like business, finance, math and information technology.
The remaining five human cases, seven animal cases, and one positive environmental sampling site were located within 3.0 km of the nearest forecasted C. gattii ecological niche areas.
The remaining four animal cases and one positive environmental sampling site were located within 2.5 km of the nearest forecasted C. gattii ecological niche areas.
All 11 human cases, 9 of 13 animal cases, and 3 of 4 positive environmental sampling sites on the BC mainland were located in the forecasted C. gattii ecological niche areas based on the ENM scenario using the distribution of human C. gattii cases to construct the model.
Finally, using the distribution of positive C. gattii environmental sampling locations to construct the model, 6 of 11 human cases, 6 of 13 animal cases, and 3 of 4 positive environmental sampling sites on the BC mainland were located in the forecasted C. gattii ecological niche areas.
Using the distribution of animal C. gattii cases to construct the model, all 11 human cases, all 13 animal cases, and all 4 positive environmental sampling sites on the BC mainland were located in the forecasted C. gattii ecological niche areas.
Although the forecasted arrival of El Niño in some areas should ease the drought, this event brings with it increased risks of flooding and disease outbreaks, including Influenza A (H1N1), and the likely further destruction of assets.
If the changes in tea functional quality with water availability and herbivore pressures are indicative of broader climate change, tea production areas face increased heterogeneity with forecasted prolonged and more frequent droughts along with increased heavy precipitation events (Orlowsky and Seneviratne 2012; Seneviratne et al. 2012).
