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'Out of sample' forecast tests show that a combination of maximum temperatures and precipitation predicts hailstorm damage best.
And the number of the theoretical falling points for each interval in the 5000 times forecast tests is also presented in the table.
5000 times forecast tests are implemented on the wind farms and each test will forecast the PDFs of wind power generation for the further 48 hours.
We carry out tsunami forecast tests for the great tsunami scenario at the Nankai Trough, southwest Japan, using offshore tsunami pseudo observations.
In the tsunami forecast tests, λ is empirically fixed, respectively, for using the data from the operating offshore observatories, and for using the PPP ship height data (Inazu and Saito 2014).
Tsunami forecast tests were carried out using simulated tsunami data by the PPP-based ship height of 92 cargo ships/tankers, and by currently operating deep-sea pressure and Global Positioning System (GPS) buoy observations at 71 stations over the Nankai Trough.
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Pseudo observation data (d) are made for the tsunami forecast test.
This paper outlines the first earthquake forecast testing experiment for the Japan area conducted within the CSEP framework.
The goal of CSEP is to facilitate earthquake forecast testing that is completely transparent, fully reproducible, and truly prospective.
b Initial tsunami height of the tsunami scenario with 376 unit sources (green circles) used for the forecast test.
Here, the PPP noise was added to the tsunami simulation data used for the tsunami forecast test.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com