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But it faces a sharp slowdown in growth, to a (probably optimistic) government forecast rate of 3.7% next year.
Tight budgets set for the first time by parliament, which hitherto had no say, mean that total spending on public health is to rise by no more than 1.7% this year--the forecast rate of inflation--after surging at a real annual rate of more than 5% over the previous 15 years.
Add in Japan, however, and the forecast rate of growth sinks to 1.7%.Related items The lights flicker on Madison AvenueMar 27th 2002Even advertising over the Internet, which collapsed at the end of the speculative bubble that gave rise to it, has failed to pick up.
When δ1 is very small, the forecast rate is too low (an underprediction); and, when δ2 is very small, the forecast rate is too high (an over-prediction).
The darker the color, the higher the forecast rate of earthquakes.
Obviously, the forecast rate of earthquakes was far less than the observed number of earthquakes for this year.
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All events occurred in cells with relatively high forecast rates.
However, in order to submit our model we must forecast rates for all Japan.
Their forecast rates are based on using data on large earthquakes during the past 120 years.
Many of the target earthquakes occur in regions where the combined model has high forecast rates.
We randomized forecast rates of earthquakes by constraining the sum of the forecast rates to be equal to the total number of observed earthquakes, ignoring the Gutenberg-Richter relation (Gutenberg and Richter, 1944).
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