Sentence examples for forecast probability from inspiring English sources
We would also emphasize — as has the Upshot — that it is best not to put too much stock in small differences in a forecast probability.
The default map shows the seasonal precipitation forecast probability (colors between 0 and 1) of exceeding the 50th percentile of the distribution from historical 1982-2010 climatology.
Tools developed at Columbia University's International Research Institute for Climate and Society IRII) can enable a more refined understanding of the full forecast probability distribution function.
We classified two Landsat images (1976 and 2001) in order to forecast probability of occurrence for unsampled locations and to determine the best subset of predictors (spectral bands).
Since the maximal accepted measurement error is ±10%, misclassification in one class up or down is acceptable; a measure of correct forecast probability is also provided.
The maps' relative likelihoods of persistence are indicated for either wet or dry, depending upon whether the forecast probability is 40-50% (labeled "Enhanced"), or 55% and higher (labeled "Greatly Enhanced").
These include metrics that verify the forecast probabilities and metrics that verify the ensemble mean forecast.
To aid in interpretation of the forecast probabilities, maps of the observed precipitation and temperature percentiles are plotted in physical units here: Climatological Percentiles Maproom.
And, microclimates aside, Dr. Robinson said yet another factor influencing the public's perception of weather forecasts occurs when detailed weather models and official forecast probabilities generated by the National Weather Service are inaccurately interpreted by broadcast meteorologists.
The ECMWF temperature and precipitation ensemble reforecasts are evaluated for biases in the mean, spread and forecast probabilities, and how these biases propagate to streamflow ensemble forecasts.
Fig. 3 (a) Prospective forecast probabilities for 127 SRE sequences in 2008.
