Exact(2)
By the middle of 1998 the stock market began to trade off the Web estimates rather than the Street estimates -- which tells you how fully understood this quarterly forecast game had become even before the boom reached its turn-of-the-century heights.
To predict what will have staying power, Forbes.com turned to Electronic Entertainment Design and Research EEDARR), a market research firm that compiles sales data and marketing spending to help it forecast game sales and so predict the 10 best-selling games this holiday.
Similar(58)
The yearly technology forecasting game tends to be too earnest and too obvious.
The most recent example of 2012 is the "Health Horizons 2012" Forecasting Game [55].
But in the forecasting game, grocery replenishment, where sales data is high-frequency and inventory is generally plentiful, is probably the easiest problem to solve.
The Forecasting game scientific of the IFTF, for example, encountered the problem that regional and cultural differences amounted for a lot of the variability in estimates of technological developments [63].
Here in the UK this week, however, it was the polls that were wrong, and even the seemingly infallible Silver - who took a break from US politics to dip his toe in the general election forecasting game - came away befuddled.
Were it always the case that the rules of the forecasting game were always made so clear.
"When enough people play a game," McGonigal writes, "it becomes a massively collaborative study of a problem". In 2007, when the Corporation for Public Broadcasting funded the simulated forecasting game World Without Oil, about 2,000 people signed up.
Why play forecasting games when the music is already hitting our ears?
That's the nature but also the fun of these forecasting games.Daniel Franklin: editor, The World in 2008.
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