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First, global forecast fields are downloaded to HPC clusters.
The operational storm surge models use the forecast fields produced by ECMWF atmospheric model as meteorological forcing.
As the quality of forecast relies mainly on the resolution and quality of atmospheric fields, Stormy can be improved with the better forecast fields.
The MM5 mesoscale model nested in the ECMWF forecast fields provides the simulations, run at 22.5 km resolution for a two-day period.
This is an extension of a previously presented Procrustes shape analysis based verification approach into a full Bayesian format designed to handle the verification of precipitation forecasts that match objects from an ensemble of forecast fields to a single truth image.
Several statistical scores can be based on the observed and forecast fields.
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Over time, the forecast field will begin to diverge from the actual field.
Accordingly, we also use the (non-dimensional) scaled forecast field (with ) and the scaled observation (with ) in our analysis.
Fig. 9 Screenshot of Stormy showing two-dimensional forecast field of storm surge at 9 30 on 30 December 2012.
More recently, Kuang et al. (2009) have assimilated historical field data into numerical dynamo models to investigate if improvements can be made to forecast field models.
In addition, the mean square field and error are defined as (12 The full forecast field and observations will then require utilization of the axial dipole component.
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