Exact(1)
Recent work by Dieckmann et al. (2010) suggests that decision makers are not necessarily 'ambiguity averse' in a forecast context, and presenting ranges of probability can have distinct advantages as a way to communicate probability and diagnostic confidence.
Similar(59)
Kohonen self-organisation maps are a well know classification tool, commonly used in a wide variety of problems, but with limited applications in time series forecasting context.
Hypothesis testing can be difficult in a nonlinear environment, as revealed by the relatively misleading statistical significance tests in Table 4. Nonlinear modeling may be more appealing in a forecasting context, in which we are often more concerned about overall model fit and prediction than about inference and hypothesis testing.
Roz Pidcock on the Carbon Brief website: To put the new forecast in context with current global temperatures, 1998 was the warmest year on record - according to the Met Office Hadley Centre global temperature record, with a global temperature of 0.40 degrees above the long term average.
Due to this fact, we approached the prediction of last time points in the forecast analysis context where we could adjust the smoothing penalty parameter of SPCA accordingly.
Return to the menu page: Click the blue link called "Forecasts in Context" at the top left corner of the page.
Switch to another map: Select the dropdown menu at the top of the page, to the right of the blue "Forecasts in Context" heading.
There are three important lessons for stakeholders - in both the private and public sectors - to take from Nestlé's retrenchment: 1. Interpret market growth forecasts in context, know the territory, and do your own math.
He has extensive experience in the production of seasonal climate forecasts in contexts such as the Regional Climate Outlook Forums, and works closely with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) to promote the definition and adoption of forecasting and verification standards through engagement in relevant WMO Expert Teams, including through the Commission for Climatology (CCl).
Semseye allows retailers to track and analyse consumers' paths and decision-making processes throughout their stores, via their mobiles, and then delivers predictive forecasting based on context such as weather forecasts.
The case of the El Niño costero should be viewed as a lesson for governments and forecasters to heed attention to not only the climate information generated by forecasts, but also the context of the forecast and disaster setting, which is equally important and can influence societal responses to hydrometeorological threats.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com