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An appropriate ethical stance then would be to question whether it is appropriate to protect nature and force resource extraction to other parts of the world where standards of environmental protection may be considerably weaker.
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In the Low variant, smaller numbers of immigrants in all age groups, especially the younger ones, influence the projected labour force resources in the opposite direction.
In the High scenario the total labour force resources of the 27 countries under study are expected to increase by 6% (to 247 million) between 2002 and 2052.
The post-2002 immigrands and their descendants, who are expected to constitute 20% of the labour force resources in 2052 in the Base scenario, do not significantly mitigate the effects of the ageing of the labour force.
This study presents the results of the projections of population and labour force resources for 27 selected European countries for the period 2002-2052, fonussing on the impact of international migration on the advancement of the population ageing process.
At the end of the projection period the overall labour force resources in the 27 countries under study are expected to amount to 184 million people (21% less than in 2002), that is 47% of the total population.
At the end of the projection period, the post-2002 immigrands and their descendants are going to account for almost one-third of the total labour force resources in the 27 European countries.
This study had two main objectives: to project European populations and labour force resources for the coming 50 years and to assess the impact of plausible migration flows on the effects of ageing with respect to the aggregate indicators of social security and labour market burdens.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com