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Josephine was located in an area which was supportive for rapid intensification but was not forecast to intensify quickly.
When Hernan grew from tropical storm to Category 5, it intensified at a rate of 1.73 mbar (hPa) per hour, just under the threshold for "rapid intensification".
Shortly thereafter it intensified into a tropical cyclone, although by that time, the conditions were no longer as favorable for rapid intensification.
Based on a potentially developing anticyclone over the storm and a track over warm water temperatures, the Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme model issued a 46 percent probability for rapid intensification of the storm.
Located within an area with little or no steering current, and situated over warm waters and underneath an upper-level low, conditions were near perfect for rapid intensification, despite the proximity to land.
Météo-France noted that despite forecasting a the storm to peak as a moderate tropical storm, with winds of 75 km/h (45 mph), there was potential for rapid intensification due to the storm's small size.
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This process of "rapid intensification" — extremely dangerous near a coastline — is something we keep seeing lately.
Steady intensification continued after formation, with the NHC indicating the possibility of rapid intensification.
The possibility of rapid intensification at the time was low.
There was a period of rapid intensification and the eye reappeared.
Back in favorable conditions, the typhoon entered a phase of rapid intensification beginning six hours later.
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