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Newspoll's 1.8-point underestimate of the Labor primary vote in 2010 was largely offset by a 2.1-point overestimate of the Greens' House of Representatives vote – both misses are very close to or outside a conventional 95% credible interval or "margin of error" for a poll with a sample size this large – resulting in a two-party preferred estimate that was virtually dead-on.
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A poll released Wednesday by EPIC-MRA, an independent polling and research firm based in Lansing, Mich., said Mr. Kerry had gained ground in the state in the last month, widening a lead of a couple percentage points to seven, giving him 49percentt of 600 voters surveyed compared with 42percentt for Mr. Bush, in a poll with a margin of sampling error of plus or minus four percentage points.
If you're looking for a polling feature with more personal accountability and context this could be just what you're looking for.
For example, replacing a poll tax with an equally expensive voter registration fee is not a "retrogressive" change because it causes equal discrimination, not more.
Beyond email, my first real involvement with the internet was in 1998 when I launched ariannaonline.com for my columns, books, and projects such as the Partnership for a Poll-Free America, which I started with Harry Shearer to get people to hang up on pollsters.
For example, this poll (with a "margin of error of 5.9%") of registered Minnesota Democrats reported in the Minneapolis StarTribune on January 22, 2016 said that Hillary was the projected winner, with Clinton at 59% and Sanders at 25%.
This time, she immediately becomes the overwhelming favourite for the nomination, with a poll lead of between 40 and 50 points.
Adenauer's spirit is abroad once more as Germany, united now and infinitely more self-assured, prepares for a national poll in September with a startling lack of audacity.To German eyes, the reason to be steady is as plain as the badge on a Mercedes-Benz.
A poll for NBC News showed Trump with the support of about 3 in 10 self-identified Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.
Saturday was a light day for polling, with only the national tracking polls and a South Dakota poll out; our forecast was essentially unchanged.
Thursday was a busy day for the polls, with some bright spots for each candidate.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com