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He evoked the historic competitor in pondering last year's decimation of the foal crop and what would have been its progeny.
"If you subtract 2,000 from 33,815, the resulting number will be pretty much equivalent to the '97 foal crop, which is racing now.
David Switzer, executive director of the Kentucky Thoroughbred Association, estimates that the syndrome has caused the loss of 500 foals from this year's foal crop, and that "next year's crop has been depleted by as many as 2,000".
The slow times in recent years could also be a fluctuation attributable to the hit-or-miss nature of breeding or track condition on Triple Crown days, as well as the quality of a particular foal crop.
Even though the foal crop has been declining, due to a poor economy, fewer than half the thoroughbreds born each year will ever win a race: "They're all trying to get the next Secretariat, and it doesn't matter what happens to the ones that don't work out.
"We know the problem is massive: half the foal crop doesn't make it to the races year after year, and it becomes exponential," said Mike Ziegler, executive director of the Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance, an organization of breeders, owners, sales companies and racetracks recently formed to accredit and raise money for facilities for retired thoroughbreds.
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According to the Blood-Horse's Stallion Register, Flower Alley had 196 named foals from 2008 and 2009, his first two foal crops; of those named, 97 horses have made it to the races, and 47 have been winners.
At the same time, it has reduced the live racing it conducts as foal crops have declined and horsemen have left for racetracks in states where casino revenue has plumped purses.
The "good" news that foal crops are decreasing yearly as real breeders go broke and speculators flee is offset by the blatant sale lesson that demand for horses is shrinking even faster than production.
"Horse numbers have been in steady decline since peaking in 2008 and, with the significantly reduced foal crops due to reach racing age, the sport cannot continue at its previous capacity".
During his breeding career he sired 18 foal crops, with a total of 132 horses registered with the AQHA.
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