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If I had to say what I've done for my kids, I'd point to "the Six Flags effect," named after our first trip to the amusement park two years ago.
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When the republic is in danger, there is always an immediate rally-round-the-flag effect.
He would be disciplined and careful, show anger and steel but also coolness under pressure, and let the rally-round-the-flag effect do its natural work.
Tragic events can sometimes bolster support for the incumbent president because of a rally-around-the-flag effect, but the impact is usually short-lasting.
Some of these things have relatively predictable effects on the polls — an unexpected attack on an American military installation on foreign soil might temporarily improve Mr. Obama's numbers because of the rally-around-the-flag effect, for instance.
In general, the historical experience is that unexpected foreign policy crises are more likely to move the polls in favor of the incumbent in the immediate term — the rally-around-the-flag effect.
In the current issue of Political Science Quarterly, Montague Kern observes that the Cuban missile crisis is one of those "full-bore crises … in which an ideological enemy (the Soviet Union) is universally perceived to have gone on the attack, leading to a rally-'round-the-flag effect that greatly expands support for a president, increasing his policy options".
And to the extent that conservatives did show outsize loyalty during George W. Bush's first term (though not during his second!) despite his various ideological compromises, the rally-round-the-flag effect of 9/11 is probably a better explanation than anything inherent to conservatism.
"There's a rally-round-the-flag effect".
"One of the consequences of this attack is going to be an increased rally-around-the-flag effect for Iran's regional policy," Vaez said.
The incumbent Carter had jumped to an early lead, mainly thanks to the "rally 'round the flag" effect of the Iran Hostage Crisis.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com