Newspoll shows a three-point improvement in ALP first preferences, but just a one-point improvement in the two-party preferred (TPP) estimate.
At the 1958 election, Loxton consolidated his hold on the seat, leading on first preferences (43.67%), and ending with 54.85% of the two party preferred vote to halt Pettiona's attempted comeback.
Initially only first preferences are counted.
On first preferences he loses 46-41.
That means no first preferences, no second preferences, no any preferences.
An initial ballot paper count adds up all the first preferences.
David Miliband received 40% of first preferences in 142 of the 165 seats that nominated him.
The Nationals candidate, Matthew Fraser, also ran, polling 37.6% of first preferences.
"Without Liberal preferences, the Greens would need to outpoll Labor on first preferences to win".
Assuming neither does but that they finish first and second in terms of first preferences, all other candidates will be knocked out of the contest and second preference votes for the top two will be added to their first preferences.
Labor won 38% of first preferences in the 2010 election, resulting in a hung parliament and minority government.
