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But falling welfare rolls have yielded the state a bounty of federal welfare funds.
Britain's economic recovery has remained fickle this year as consumers have reined in spending amid concerns of higher taxes and falling welfare support for the poorest families.
The sceptics have been made quiet, but not yet silent, and they mount some good arguments.One is that falling welfare rolls are hardly surprising when the economy is booming.
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But inflation is close to 30%, real wages are falling and welfare schemes have suffered big cuts in their budget.
True, out-of-wedlock births are falling and welfare reform has increased the chances of mothers holding down jobs, but the gap is still vast.
But once he was safely back on Downing Street, he announced a new spending review aimed at cutting the budgets of some government departments by another twenty-five or thirty per cent, with some of the biggest cuts falling on welfare programs.
These US welfare reforms have been extensively evaluated, and the bulk of evidence suggests they resulted in large and statistically significant falls in welfare caseloads along with increases in employment (see Blank, 2002; Grogger and Karoly, 2005; Moffitt, 2008).
The more that benefits for pensioners are ringfenced and made inviolable, the more must be cut elsewhere as the £12bn axes falls on welfare.
Once a discrepancy is detected by the automated data-matching process – currently occurring at a rate of 20,000 a week – the onus then falls on welfare recipients to prove they were entitled to claim benefits, often forcing them to find payslips and employment information from up to six years ago.
Unemployment has been rising, wages falling, and comfortable welfare systems are on the chopping block.
The recession has made this harder to achieve, because tax revenues are falling just as welfare payments start to rise.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com