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Similarly, coral reef destruction and extreme sea level rises might be avoided if the 1.5C limit is achieved.
The Stockholm Environment Institute report highlights that other policies to boost renewable energy and curb emissions from coal-fired power plants will be needed to help the world cope with the droughts, floods, food insecurity and extreme sea level rise of runaway climate change.
And given the abundance of evidence all around us about the dangers of climate change – extreme sea level rise in the Bush and Rubio home state of Florida, the public health emergency of the Zika virus, the climate-fuelled drought in California and super-sized blizzards in the north-east, just to name a few examples – such oversight by candidates is really just another kind of denial.
Menéndez and Woodworth (2010) have used the same dataset to investigate the worldwide patterns of historical extreme sea level changes by means of an extreme value analysis.
In practice atmospheric drivers of extreme sea level such as mid-latitude and tropical storms are more amenable to analysis and prediction.
More specifically, increased sea level in conjunction with extreme sea level events, such as waves and storm surges, will reduce arable land, affect groundwater reserves, and increase the risk of flooding and erosion in coastal areas as well as infrastructure damage (Nurse et al. 2014).
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—It is very likely that average sea level rise will contribute to upward trends in extreme sea levels in extreme coastal high water levels.
Estimation of extreme sea levels for high return periods is of prime importance in hydrological design and flood risk assessment.
Yet if global action on climate change fails and extreme sea-level rises occur as predicted, then the impacts would be of a greater magnitude.
Lowe et al. [42] note that the rate and unpredictable nature of tsunamis means that they are probably under-estimated in probabilistic estimates of future extreme sea-level.
Vulnerability to changing climatic conditions is evident in water, land, and food through the interaction of non-climatic forces (e.g. overcrowding, urbanization, few economic opportunities, changing land use, and shifting cultural norms), and climatic forces (e.g. dry spells, extreme sea-levels, strong winds and changing marine conditions).
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