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Scientists say the extreme floods happening now are being fueled by climate change.
"Britain, like us, has not been immune to extreme floods and storms," he said.
More important, climate change may be changing the earth's hydrological cycle, producing more extreme floods and droughts.
The overall effect is an intensification of the water cycle that causes more extreme floods and droughts globally.
Tributary surface streams may sink underground, and there may be streambeds that carry water only during seasons of high flow or during extreme floods.
In extreme floods (e.g., March 1947) the discharge at Teddington Weir may be as much as 20,900 cubic feet (590 cubic metres) per second.
The models were run thousands of times to enable the probability of the extreme floods to be determined in both scenarios, taking 40,000 years of computing time.
Mr. Clarke said he realized that many of the problems like drought and extreme floods in Africa were caused by climate change.
In October, the government rejected advice from its own climate change advisers for action to cut the impact of extreme floods.
Munich Re, one of the world's largest insurance companies, says climate-related events serious enough to cause property damage have risen significantly since 1980: extreme floods tripled and extreme windstorms nearly so.
Those efforts to confine the river to a deep and narrow channel are believed to have made surrounding areas more vulnerable to extreme floods – as in 2011, when thousands were forced to flee their homes.
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