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Undaunted, there are those who make extraordinary predictions even now.
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Predictable predictions?
"Evan, that was a quite extraordinary piece of prediction," says Phil Sawyer.
The predictions exclude extraordinary events, like extreme weather conditions or turbulence in oil-exporting countries.
Sadly, what is never different is the extraordinary vulnerability of economic prediction to long tail events and the always humbling test of reality.
Although remote sensing technology is currently still a research tool, the example of cholera prediction through its use provides a compelling argument to maintain and adequately fund our satellite programs; unless this is done, this extraordinary effort at disease prediction will fail.
The one area in which our predictions are making extraordinary progress, however, is perhaps the most unlikely field.
To check if the extraordinary, high chromosome copy numbers predicted by the Poisson mixture model were correct, these predictions were experimentally tested.
Tony Woodcock's early try and a penalty from fourth-choice fly-half Stephen Donald were enough to see the All Blacks home in an extraordinary match that defied all pre-match predictions.
That experience should indeed make us suspicious of doomsday predictions and distrustful of claims that extraordinary measures are necessary to protect "national security".
Most analysts had assumed that the election would go to a second round, but in recent days, the extraordinary public support for Mr. Moussavi had led to predictions that he could win the presidency in the first round on Friday.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com