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A web-based portal with an intuitive visual interface was developed for end-users to conveniently explore the forecast products.
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For now, the scientists who want to explore the forecasting power of the C-S ratio must wait for ground-based monitors to capture more eruptions.
To forecast ROMIs with our core models, we use simulation-based Bayesian inference, i.e., we use the Gibbs sample algorithm (Geman and Geman 1984) to explore the forecasting distribution simulatively.
In addition to traditional realized volatility measures and the role of the underlying sampling frequencies, we also explore the forecasting performance of several alternative volatility measures designed to mitigate the impact of the microstructure noise.
Evaluation exercises were undertaken to explore the forecasting ability of this model for projecting cancer prevalence.
We explore the forecasting problem under the following scenario: during an influenza epidemic, several possible parameter sets are proposed for modeling the epidemic.
The purpose of this work is to explore the possibility of forecasting daily maximum ozone impacts in urban areas of Kuwait, where most measurements are taken at surface stations.
Although higher resolution observation data (e.g., radial wind from Doppler radars and GPS precipitable water vapor) are expected to be better able to reproduce smaller scale distributions of the initial conditions than conventional data, we did not use such high-resolution data in this study because our main purpose was to explore the merits of ensemble forecasts.
We explore the potential of this probabilistic forecasting approach on the 28 September 2012 flash flood in the Guadalentín river basin, a medium-sized catchment located in Murcia, southeastern Spain.
Cross-correlation function (CCF) [16] is applied to explore the temporal and spatial dependence relation among the forecast errors.
Forecasts made with and without scenarios are compared for each of these formats to explore the potential effects of providing scenarios as forecast advice.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com