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The other key issue raised by the CRU affair is the perennial problem of explaining uncertainty.
The problem is not limited to criminology for even in physical sciences the inability to explain uncertainties in weather patterns, the growth and effect of modern technology and communication networks, the adaptive nature of living organisms and many other complex systems from seemingly large collections of simpler components is formidable [20].
Heisenberg vividly explained uncertainty with the example of taking a picture of an electron.
That's bad enough: As political scientist Phil Arena explains, uncertainty can itself be a cause of war.
Bohr, for his part, explained uncertainty by pointing out that answering certain questions necessitates not answering others.
Anonymous audience member: "I'm very distracted by all the noise here on the street," she said, struggling to explain uncertainty.
This paper is an effort to explain uncertainty in comparatively simple way to give an idea about the error propagation in a measurement and the calculation of associated uncertainty.
And it presents a variety of scenarios and assumptions, broadly explaining the uncertainties involved in such complex calculations and citing the need for "transparency" in its analysis.
After the proposed framework for uncertainty analysis is explained the uncertainties pertaining to the design and operation of residential DERs and micro-CHP systems are identified.
The judgments overstated what analysts knew and then failed to explain the uncertainty or uncertainties behind those judgments -- in other words, the judgment with the caveats of "We generally feel this way, but there are those in the State Department, the Department of Energy, or whatever, who feel differently".
"I have a memoir that's been published," stopping short of explaining the uncertainty of the book business.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com