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The party's carefully planned, disciplined campaign is not generating the expected poll reward.
The expected poll boost largely failed to materialise, but the Lib Dems still had enough MPs to effectively hold the balance of power in a hung Parliament when the votes had been counted.
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The other newcomer, Freedom and Solidarity (known as SaS), did far better than expected, polling 12%.
Mr Dzurinda's freemarket conservative party did better than expected, polling 18.4%.
Although it will take more than summitry to give Brown a chance at the next general election, there is certainly no shortage of opportunities to take the global stage between now and the expected polling day next year.
Thus, we expect the actual polling errors to be larger than the stated errors, and moreover, we expect polling results to favor the Republicans.
The five other candidates are expected to poll in single figures.
Few observers expected the poll – which will be won by whoever wins more than 50% of votes cast – to be a genuine contest.
A survey last month by the VTsIOM polling agency suggested he would take 4% of the presidential vote, compared with a predicted 45% for Putin (the only true social democrat, Grigory Yavlinsky, is expected to poll 2%).
Support for reducing the national debt is far stronger than either party had expected, and poll respondents regularly say their top priorities are putting Social Security and Medicare on sound footing for the retirement of the baby boom generation.
The pro-Kurdish HDP was expected to poll less votes than expected, with one senior member of the party telling the BBC the results looked "disappointing".
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com