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The University of Michigan's survey of households' expectation of inflation over the next 12 months has risen from 1.7% to 3.2% over the past year.
A survey of American consumers shows that their median expectation of inflation over the next five to ten years has reached its highest since 1995 (see article).
The predicament provided an opening for their critics, most notably Milton Friedman, who argued that incessant government stimulation of the economy risked promoting not only inflation but the expectation of inflation, which could then spiral out of control.
By that he means the central bank should embark on a crash program of printing yen -- creating not only inflation today, but also the expectation of inflation tomorrow and an indefinite number of tomorrows into the future.
Worryingly, the bank's own survey shows that the median expectation of inflation over the next year has risen to a new high of 3.3%.So far the central bank has moved cautiously.
According to a survey by the University of Michigan, Americans' expectation of inflation over the coming year is now 3.3%, up from 2% last May.More optimistic analysts note that inflation is still extremely low by historical standards.
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He adds:Inflation has already persisted below target longer than the Fed expected, and the latest data suggest that it is the public's expectations of inflation that are converging towards actual inflation, rather than the other way around.
Inflation has already persisted below target longer than the Fed expected, and the latest data suggest that it is the public's expectations of inflation that are converging towards actual inflation, rather than the other way around.
Second, expectations of inflation remain contained.
And QE also helps shape expectations of inflation.
But a deep recession has changed expectations of inflation.
More suggestions(16)
interest of inflation
expectation of rate
expectation of policy
expectation of price
expectation of pressure
expectation of target
prediction of inflation
forecast of inflation
sign of inflation
expectation of employment
expectation of low
expectation of change
expectation of violence
expectation of transparency
expectation of coffee
expectation of discovery
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
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