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One is that the banks may have elected to hold onto the excess capital for now.
Even so, analysts at Haitong said: "The market should be reassured that the group has the capacity to generate a substantial amount of excess capital for shareholders".
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But MetLife estimates it has excess capital of around $5 billion.
With its higher yields, the then emerging subprime market provided an ideal outlet for the excess capital searching for higher returns.
The second is when you are at max revenue growth, but don't yet have good unit economics because you can get in the trap of continuing to burn your excess capital to fund for the revenue growth whereas if you had more constrained capital, you would start to think about converting that revenue growth to actual unit economic growth.
Direct Line is down despite a hold note from Peel Hunt: The main catalyst for the stock continues to be the potential for excess capital to be returned to shareholders at the end of the year.
His primary screen looks for excess capital.
These government-managed pools of excess capital have been around for decades, but their growing financial heft is drawing new scrutiny.
Being venture-backable implies certain characteristics: a $1 billion-plus market, exponential growth, spending excess capital and having a strategy for a major liquidity event within a predefined time frame.
And with the markets at all-time highs, I'm looking for clues as to what plans Buffett has for Berkshire's $50 billion in excess capital.
GE Capital gets away with 6%; any excess capital can be upstreamed to the parent company for use in other lines of business or in paying dividends.
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