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Unfortunately, anxious to please Rupert Murdoch's Sky News and with an exaggerated confidence in David Cameron's message, the Tories gambled.
As with much of the yes/no debate that has engrossed (some) Scots for decades, those who speak with exaggerated confidence on both sides are bluffing.
There are also many gray areas, where it isn't clear when excitement and enthusiasm about global cultural exchange crosses the line into exaggerated confidence about how much students think they know or can know about other people's cultures.
Reform may be needed, but there is no reason to assume that markets have the answer.Moreover, the credit bubble was the result of an exaggerated confidence in the ability of "the market" to spot and address its own excesses.
It requires companies to be led by "visionaries" in place of today's "administrators", a lowly breed who Mr Hamel says "possess an exaggerated confidence in great execution, believing this is all you need to succeed in a discontinuous world.
The snag is that both assumptions may reflect exaggerated confidence in the skill of central bankers and bond investors.The view from the red planetSuppose a Martian returned to Earth today, a quarter century after his last visit.
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For inference to humans, 29/67 (43%) press releases without exaggeration had news uptake compared with 19/38 (50%) press releases with exaggerated advice (95% confidence intervals of the difference −13% to 27%).
For causal claims from correlation, 61/122 (50%) press releases without exaggeration had news uptake compared with 34/60 (57%) press releases with exaggerated claims (95% confidence intervals of the difference −9% to 22%; see supplementary SI5 for secondary statements).
The end of the Cold War led to what turned out to be an exaggerated sense of confidence about the extent of security.
Don't portray an exaggerated amount of confidence, or you will come off as arrogant and overconfident.
Typically, patients in a manic phase become more active and have heightened mood swings, and exaggerated optimism and self-confidence.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com