I provide conditions under which the relative accuracy of competing estimators can be consistently estimated (as T→∞), and show that forecast evaluation tests may be adapted to the problem of ranking these estimators.
Quotes from the abstract: "Moreover, it is important to publish forecasts to enable open evaluation", and "We stress that the forecast is experimental, since the skill of the multi-model system is as yet unknown".
An evaluation by forecast users suggested that they preferred SumTime-Mousam's texts to human-generated texts, in part because of better word choice; this may be the first time that an evaluation has shown that nlg texts are better than human-authored texts.
It has been used frequently in evaluations of population forecast accuracy [ 23, 35, 36].
The out-of-sample forecasting performance evaluation shows that HM-TWA outperforms the component models and traditional combining methods, and its effectiveness is further verified by comparing it with some other existing models.
Mr. Gilbertson, 32, is a manager in the Raritan, N.J., offices of Johnson & Johnson, where he does financial evaluations and forecasting for the pharmaceuticals division.
Thus, where possible and relevant, they should be distinguished and separated in model evaluation and forecast verification applications.
In evaluations of forecasting accuracy, including forecasting competitions, researchers have paid attention to the selection of time series and to the appropriateness of forecast-error measures.
Alternatives to the proposed bills were found only in exceptional cases, and even evaluations and forecasts regarding the impact of the bills were frequently presented far too narrowly.
Such studies can also enable evaluations and forecasts the hydrological impacts of changing frozen ground in the UHRB and of other alpine mountain regions in West China.
Apply the improved BP neural network to the economic evaluation and forecast the feasibility of the petroleum projects.
