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Their commentary points out that EU net migration to Britain stood at 188,000 in 2015 and non-EU net migration at 184,000 so "net migration would not have been below 100,000 even if net EU migration was zero – unlikely even in a Brexit scenario".
A spokesperson said: "Family-friendly filters are permitted under the EU net neutrality regulation.
The numbers show that putting aside the EU net migration figures, net migration from outside the EU to Britain has risen to 168,000.
"Increased EU net migration has certainly meant the degree by which the target is missed will be much higher, but it is clear that the target would have been missed with or without this increase, as non-EU net migration alone is way over 100,000".
Migration Watch UK admitted that its prediction of future EU net migration of 65,000 should not be taken as a "precise estimate" but was "intended to illustrate the scale of the potential reduction under the policy outlined".
That doesn't wash, as I don't recall that the Tories would have pulled us out of the EU if they had won a majority in 2010 (EU net migration is running at 178,000).
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"What we are seeing across the board with the measures we are taking on immigration is that non-EU net migration is close to its lowest level since 1998.
ONS statisticians said that non-EU net migration at 190,000 was still larger than net migration from within the EU, which rose to 180,000, but the gap was narrowing.
Dr Vargas-Silva says: "Regardless of the reductions in non-EU net migration achieved by Government policy, there will always be fundamental uncertainty about whether any overall net-migration target will be hit.
"Making the further cuts in non-EU net migration needed to reach the target... could still be a difficult task, as these figures are greater than the total remaining reductions projected in the government's impact assessments for its policy changes".
The latest figures tell us that EU-net migration, which the Government cannot control, is increasing.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com