I've utilized the loess (local regression) estimated net approvals on election day since 1940 as calculated sometimes by Nate Silver and sometimes myself.
French law prohibits the publication, by the media or any Internet-connected citizen, of voting results or estimates before 8 p.m. on election days in the presidential race.
Arizona, Colorado, North Carolina and Oregon should each gain one, according to estimates by Election Data Services based on the latest census data.
Charles Stewart, the director of the MIT election lab and an expert on election administration, estimated that up to 1 million adults have become naturalized in Texas since 1996.
Election officials and civil liberties advocates are predicting that a surprise court ruling that lifted a stay on Wisconsin's controversial voter-ID law will produce chaos on election day, as estimates suggest that up to 300,000 eligible voters may not have the documentation now required to vote.
Nearly 500,000 people have voted by absentee ballot, and state officials estimate that $50 million has been spent on election preparations.
They have the power: 27.3 million Latinos are estimated to be eligible to vote on election day.
As a consequence, this paper focuses on variations of the absolute number of ballots from one election to the other, and relies on the voting age population abroad to estimate the voter turnout.
On Election Day in 2012, an estimated 750,000 potential voters across the U.S. left their polling places without voting because the lines seemed too long.
Ultimately, what really matters if you are a proponent of Obamacare is that Jeff Zients delivers on his promise to have a functioning website by the end of November, and all estimates on how Obamacare impacts future elections will have to be recalibrated depending on whether he succeeds or fails.
