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Escalation would be inevitable against a regime that will use every instrument it possesses to survive.
Probably this would not be a direct confrontation with a formal US ally, but the risks of miscalculation and escalation would be high.
Libya's civil war and, later, Syria's, frightened many into believing that escalation would be too costly for a country that has neither petroleum riches nor great strategic assets.
Managers of state-run banks, for example, will be unhappy to lose sources of long-term financing in the West, but know they will need financial support from the government to make it through any bumps ahead.Given Mr Putin's view of what is at stake in his showdown with the West, further escalation would be unsurprising.
From my experience in the government and in Vietnam, and from reading the Pentagon Papers, I thought the Vietcong would not give up, that the threat of escalation would be carried out, and that it would fail, with a great loss of life on both sides.
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Thereafter, dose escalations would be according to the modified Fibonacci method (60, 40, 30%) until MTD was reached (Schneiderman in Simon, 1993).
In future wars, he said, "the escalation ladder would be carefully climbed in a carefully controlled ascent by both protagonists".
This argument won the day, and it set the Obama Administration on a course of escalation that would be difficult to undo.
Both Abbas and Netanyahu are now both engaged in a delicate balancing act, trying to avoid further escalation that would be detrimental to both while trying not to lose the support of key constituencies.
Echoing some of Mr Obama's comments, Francois Hollande said "we must prevent an escalation that would be extremely damaging.
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Since I tried Ludwig back in 2017, I have been constantly using it in both editing and translation. Ever since, I suggest it to my translators at ProSciEditing.

Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com