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The extent to which such 'first-wave' sexual HIV transmission will generate HIV epidemics within the wider heterosexual population is of importance for prioritisation, design and targeting of preventive interventions.
Between 1998 and 2000, this enabled the governments of Botswana, Swaziland and South Africa to detect all epidemics within two weeks, and to respond within two weeks of detection.
As a final check of the method, epidemics within a community of 2,000 households were simulated using an individual based stochastic model (see Appendix S1).
Since the dynamics of internal epidemics within cities was not the focus of this research, but rather the global spread, this type of approach would seem appropriate.
The persistence of epidemics within a social network relies on population mixing at two levels: large levels of mixing within distinct social groups (local mixing) and occasional mixing with individuals outside the social group (global mixing) [13].
I then use this to predict the course of epidemics within households, and derive a function β * (t, τ *) which describes the average infectiousness of a household towards other households as a function of the time since the household was infected, τ * (from here-on, I use the starred symbols to denote properties of households, and un-starred symbols to denote properties of individuals).
Similar(41)
An epidemic-within-an-epidemic of drug-resistant disease soon arose and began percolating out of the prisons, carried by workers, like Ms. Kostina, or by released prisoners.
"Violence concentrates just like an epidemic within populations," Papachristos said.
But a combination of the new jazz economics and a heroin epidemic within the band spelled the end.
Safe and effective contraceptive options for obese women are becoming more important due to the obesity epidemic within the United States.
Reconceptualizing the epidemic within an expanded socio-ecological framework may provide an opportunity to better confront its challenges.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com