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Divide the entire forecast region into smaller subregions.
For ease, we divide the entire forecast region into rectangular subregions.
The overall algorithm used to create a forecast is as follows: 1) Divide the entire forecast region into smaller subregions.
Performance is measured by metrics that range from those that use forecast means to those that use the entire forecast ensemble.
To create our forecast, we initially take a subregion of the entire forecast area, comprised of many of the aforementioned spatial bins.
It was also assumed that occupational flexibility would remain the same over the entire forecast period.
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In absolute numbers, the largest predictions occur for Serbia, Georgia and Armenia, with a little more than 300,000 persons over the entire forecasting period.
The root-mean-squared error (RMSE) provides a global error measure across an entire forecasting period and is defined as: mathrm{RMSE} = sqrt{frac{1}{N}{displaystyle {sum}_{i=1}^N{left {I}_{mod.,i}-{I}_{mathrm{meas}.,i}right)}^2}} (2).
It has to do with the fact that so far we have evaluated the confidence intervals over the entire forecasting horizon (3 or 4 years), which resulted in their lower and upper limits being constant.
The respective level of occupational flexibility was assumed to remain stable over the entire forecasting period [ 18].
In the past, the forecaster was responsible for generating the entire weather forecast based upon available observations.
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