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Of those who found work, 61% entered work after notification – but there is no evidence that the cap played a role in getting them into employment.
But the official DWP analysis, from which the 8,000 figure is drawn, not only does not say this, it says the direct opposite: "The figures for those claimants moving into work cover all of those who were identified as potentially being affected by the benefit cap who entered work.
ERA's distinctive combination of post-employment advisory support and financial incentives was designed to help low-income individuals who entered work sustain employment and advance in the labour market.
In Italy, women who entered work after the first birth and remained employed were 19%% less likely to conceive a second child.
In the model for the transition to the second child, the employment status variable has the following categories: "entered no work after first birth" (including women on parental leave in Poland), "entered work after first birth, but currently in non-employment", and "entered work after first birth and currently in employment".
That there was some degree of selection of the most job-ready in order to meet targets is supported by data from the survey of registrants which indicated that 14% of registrants entered work within one week of registering and 32% within one month [ 24].
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However, only individuals who were working at baseline were included in the study, thus excluding for example full-time students, and individuals who had not entered work-life for other reasons, such as health.
It will reduce the incentive for the first earner in the family to enter work.
It advocated privatised pensions and universities, as well as forcing single mothers to enter work.
Like it or not, this is the reality facing many graduates entering work today.
A DWP spokesperson said: "These figures don't take into account any expected behavioural change, such as entering work.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com