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Translate that into seats on the basis of five different online electoral models (May 2015, Election Forecast, Elections Etc, Poll Observatory and the Guardian) and the Tories maintain their advantage.
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Certainly, the Lib Dems are in a weak position to demand a more proportional electoral model from Mr Cameron after this result.
(A referendum on the alternative-vote electoral model, which the Lib Dems prefer over Westminster's first-past-the-post system, is part of the deal).
And unlike in systems based on proportional representation, our winner-take-all electoral model creates some of the highest barriers to entry for political outsiders of any democracy on earth.
On the same day voters might reject the alternative-vote electoral model for Westminster that will be offered to them in a referendum (holding it was part of Mr Clegg's original bargain with Mr Cameron).
This electoral model spread throughout the postcommunist region because of both shared perceptions by opposition groups of similar local conditions and the existence of transnational democracy promotion networks that included local, regional and American participants.
Reaching beyond California in 2006, Medina helped bring the UFW's Los Angeles grassroots electoral model to Colorado and Arizona, leading Democrats to key victories in both states.
Despite the shared political ideals of the two men, the 1964 Republican presidential nominee appeared to differentiate himself dramatically from Reagan's religious electoral model.
In Los Angeles, in 1996, after UFW alum Miguel Contreras became head of the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, he used the UFW-inspired electoral model to greatly increase Latino and union member voting.
Nate Silver's 538 model wasn't the only electoral forecasting model this election season.
Granted, there are probably more electoral-prediction models by now than candidates for public office, and it's a safe bet that Michael Bloomberg will be reëlected without consulting any of them.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com