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As this briefing went to press, Elections Etc and Electoral Forecast, two websites run by political scientists, respectively projected that it will emerge with 296 and 283 seats, with Labour on 261 and 280.
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Maybe they just suck at electoral forecasting (definitely).
While other parties questioned the Brotherhood's claims, it has a good track record in past electoral forecasts.
Not least the fact that a five to six party election, and a surge such as the scale of the SNP's in Scotland, don't have recent precedent, which both polling and electoral forecasting rely on to crunch their figures.
Nate Silver's 538 model wasn't the only electoral forecasting model this election season.
In last year's contest between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney he went one better, producing a clean sweep of electoral college forecasts.
4. Michael Barone, a genuine expert on the intricacies and details of the American electorate, bought into the "polls are wrong" meme and forecast an electoral triumph for the Mittster.
Translate that into seats on the basis of five different online electoral models (May 2015, Election Forecast, Elections Etc, Poll Observatory and the Guardian) and the Tories maintain their advantage.
This electoral probability, the first forecast by the Upshot's presidential prediction model, is based on the voting history of each state and on roughly 300 state and national polls of the race conducted since mid-April.
She's ahead by 7 points in the national polling aggregate and 144 electoral votes in the forecast model. .
In that case, the forecasts of electoral oblivion will probably be realised and deserved.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com