For a little while today our general election chart for Republican Donald Trump vs. Democrat Hillary Clinton showed a closer-than-expected margin of about 4 points separating the candidates.
The Huffington Post Pollster general election chart, which aggregates all publicly available polls, shows Clinton with a slight edge over Trump, at 43percentt support to his 40percentt.
Our default general election chart will still be the Trump vs. Clinton chart, but in response to high demand and the aforementioned methodological issues, we're adding one that will explicitly include Johnson.
The Huffington Post Pollster general election chart, which aggregates all publicly available polls, shows Clinton leading in the presidential race with 46percentt of the vote to presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump's 40percentt.
("Mr. President, can you get me raise?") But, for students of election charts, it was not a major mood swing.
Finally, for our primary election, job approval and other non-election charts, and for the chart customizations on the election charts, we continue to calculate the trend estimates using a loess regression.
For consistency, we'll make this small adjustment on all of the national primary, Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary election charts.
That means we'll have two general election charts: Trump vs. Clinton with an "other" category, and Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson.
Established in 1969, it has gained particular prominence in the past ten years as tax and spending have become the central battleground of elections (see chart).
The Conservatives secured a relatively high share of the vote in recent local elections (see chart) and so start from a base that may be hard to better.
This compares with an actual 4% share of the popular vote in the 2008 general election, and a peak of 12%, which they won in 1991 elections (see chart below).Part of their recent decline in popularity might have to do with the fact that the government has jailed Jamaat's second-tier leaders.
