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Perhaps the most important behavioral contributions to political science were election studies.
Already, election studies show that states like Ohio and Pennsylvania will lose seats, and Texas may gain as many as four congressional seats.
Paul Whiteley and Harold Clarke have looked at the British Election Studies, which have been checked against the marked electoral registers.
Regular opinion surveys carried out as part of a series of national election studies in America show that the slump set in during the 1960s.
The University of Oxford initiated election studies in the 1960s, and David Butler and Donald Stokes one of the authors of The American Voter adapted much of the American study in Political Change in Britain: Forces Shaping Electoral Choice (1969).
And, as is the case with other types of election studies, the analysis is confined by a small sample size — only 10 presidential years from when the current nomination process was adopted in 1972 to 2008.
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The election study is undertaken by the Communications Research Centre at Loughborough University.
Over the next few months the academic British Election Study will explore this territory.
Last spring, the election study interviewed again the voters it talked to after the 1997 election.
The book goes into this in huge detail, using information from the British Election Study going back to 2004. 4.
Other data in the British Election Study indicates that 64% of Ukip's European election voters will remain with Farage at least until next year.
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