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Right now, between his pollsters' overconfidence and his consultants' failure to deliver an effective turnout operation, the epitaph for Romney's campaign looks more cruel than I anticipated: To borrow from Slate's John Dickerson, he'll be remembered as the numbers guy whose numbers were all wrong.
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There were some really effective voter turnout organizations around the country.
This is the latest chapter of a shift that became particularly vivid after the 2000 presidential election, which White House officials believe Mr. Bush nearly lost because the Democrats mounted the kind of highly effective voter turnout effort that had long been identified with the party.
The most effective voter-turnout organization in Nevada is said to be the Culinary Workers Union, which represents, among other workers, casino cooks, housekeepers, and cocktail waitresses.
In recent years, a wide body of academic research has found "social pressure" is often highly effective in increasing turnout – the key blockage in the senator's path to overtaking Trump's poll lead at the caucuses.
Another experimental study [pdf] found that neighboring canvassers are twice as effective at boosting turnout than strangers.
A17 Voter Turnout Effort Effective Grass-roots efforts raised voter turnout in last year's presidential election, particularly in battleground states, a study found, as the turnout inched up 2.2 percentage points from 1996, to 51.2percentt.
But great field programs -- particularly door to door programs that are the most effective means of boosting turnout -- must be organized with several months of lead time -- not a week and a half.
This strategy was remarkably effective for the low-turnout 2010 midterm elections, when facing an exhausted and complacent Democratic base.
It was hard to determine from the moderate turnout just how effective the parties would be.
Rick Hartwell, an organizer of the demonstration, said the protesters' message had been effective, because of the strong turnout.
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com