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This demographic trend is likely to be intensified by the dropping birthrate that follows urbanization and rising consumer expectations.
The proportion of the population 65 or older is expected to increase, to 32percentt from 17. Perhaps the main factor behind the dropping birthrate is that Japan remains a traditional society where women are still expected to work and take care of the household with little participation by men, Mr. Ogino said.
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In the US and Europe, the birthrate is dropping at a rapid clip.
In a normal year, that would mean about 8,000 infected pregnancies, but the birthrate is dropping rapidly, said Jose A. Lopez, the health department's demographer.
In a comparison group consisting of 16 countries that had populations of over one million and a birthrate equal to or higher than China's in 1970, the average birthrate dropped to 22 per thousand in 1998 from 35.6 per thousand in 1970.
That is because birthrates are dropping in much of the world.
In most of the Muslim world, birthrates are dropping rapidly.
The birthrate dropped for the second year in a row since the recession began in 2007.
In China, the birthrate dropped to 15.6 per thousand in 1998 from 33.4 per thousand in 1970.
The national birthrate dropped in 2011 to an all-time low of 63.2 per 1,000 women of childbearing age, the Pew Research Center said Thursday.
During the program's first four years, the use of LARCs among family-planning clients grew from 4.5percentto19.4percentcent, and the teen birthrate dropped an unprecedented 40percentt.
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