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May 1, 2014 Deutsche Bank is gloomier, predicting a 0.4% drop in GDP (annualised).
The prediction of a 6% drop in GDP is drawn from the middle option.
The odds, however, are shortening with each drop in GDP growth and presidential approval ratings.
A slight drop in GDP growth compared with last year is a cause for celebration.
But predictions range from a 0.2% drop in GDP to growth of 0.3%.
Funcas, a think-tank, predicts a 0.5% drop in GDP next year.
Moreover, the government is afraid of any drop in GDP, especially before the 2008 Beijing Olympics.
The healthy numbers for the second quarter followed a surprise drop in GDP in the first.
Another drop in GDP, though, would mean the UK was officially back in recession.
He forecasts a 0.4% drop in GDP in the final quarter, meaning the UK would shrink by 0.5% this year.
Vince Cable, the Liberal Democrat treasury spokesman, described the drop in GDP as a "cold blast of realism".
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Justyna Jupowicz-Kozak
CEO of Professional Science Editing for Scientists @ prosciediting.com