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One of the main drivers of extinction is habitat loss that arises when tropical rainforests are converted to farms -- a trend that is escalating at a dramatic rate.
Our assessment shows amphibian declines are likely to accelerate over the next decades, as multiple drivers of extinction could jeopardise their populations more than previous, mono-causal assessments have suggested".
"Climate change and ocean acidification are predicted to become, and I think it's hard to really avoid the idea that they're going to become, drivers of extinction, as we move outside historical tolerances," Kolbert told VICE News.
Another important result of our study is that different datasets, statistical approaches and regional assessments generally agree on important drivers of extinction.
Not only do most studies show that geographic area is one of the most important drivers of extinction risk, our data reveal that it is the most important by far relative to all other potential drivers, even though there are a host of other potential drivers modifying the probability weakly.
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Changes in climate have been identified as one of the key drivers of extinctions of amphibians, with more than 160 probable extinctions in the last two decades, many in Central America.
Climate change — itself a driver of extinction — will also leave behind geological traces, as will deforestation, industrial pollution, and monoculture farming.
The authors said the IUCN lists one other mammal that was driven to extinction, partly by extreme weather – the Little Swan Island hutia – but introduced cats on the island were considered the main driver of extinction.
Ben Minteer, an ethicist at Arizona State University's school of life sciences and the lead author of the article, told NPR that he doesn't think scientific collecting is a leading driver of extinction – there would have to be millions of researchers bagging birds every day to match the job that climate change, habitat destruction and over-exploitation have done on at-risk populations.
Our results extend previous findings that higher trophic position is correlated with extinction risk in many vertebrates by showing that snake species that feed primarily on vertebrates are more sensitive to human land use – a primary driver of extinction.
"One driver of extinction is simply overhunting or overharvesting," Kolbert said.
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